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Peak oil, fuel costs and the future of aviation

Proceedings of 3rd International Conference on Research in Air Transportation (Hrsg). ICRAT 01-04 June 2008. Fairfax, Virginia US. 2008 S. 459 - 466

Erscheinungsjahr: 2008

ISBN/ISSN: 978-0-615-20720-9

Publikationstyp: Buchbeitrag (Konferenzbeitrag)

Sprache: Englisch

GeprüftBibliothek

Inhaltszusammenfassung


This research investigates the impact of global oil production peak transmitted via soaring fuel prices on future air traffic. The paper analyzes the short-term impact of higher fuel prices on airline operating costs, passenger fares and demand for short-haul and long-haul services. Results indicate that the rate of air traffic growth constrained by scarcity of kerosene is much lower - and may even be negative - than unconstrained air traffic growth. Services offered by low-cost carrie...This research investigates the impact of global oil production peak transmitted via soaring fuel prices on future air traffic. The paper analyzes the short-term impact of higher fuel prices on airline operating costs, passenger fares and demand for short-haul and long-haul services. Results indicate that the rate of air traffic growth constrained by scarcity of kerosene is much lower - and may even be negative - than unconstrained air traffic growth. Services offered by low-cost carriers and long-haul services are most adversely affected. It is also contended that a strong increase in fuel prices outweighs the potential impact of proposed emission trading systems for the aviation industry. Looking beyond the peak in oil production the paper provides a brief discussion of potential substitutes for petroleum kerosene as jet fuel» weiterlesen» einklappen

  • peak oil
  • airline operating costs
  • air fares
  • traffic growth

Autoren


Klophaus, Richard (Autor)

Klassifikation


DDC Sachgruppe:
Wirtschaft

Beteiligte Einrichtungen